LE CYGNE NOIR TALEB PDF

Pourquoi les previsionnistes sont-ils pratiquement tous des arnaqueurs? Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent 21 years as a risk taker quantitative trader before becoming a flaneur and researcher in philosophical, mathematical and mostly practical problems with probability. This book is not yet featured on Listopia. The book is a treasure trove if you are a quizzer.

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Pourquoi les previsionnistes sont-ils pratiquement tous des arnaqueurs? Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent 21 years as a risk taker quantitative trader before becoming a flaneur and researcher in philosophical, mathematical and mostly practical problems with probability. This book is not yet featured on Listopia. The book is a treasure trove if you are a quizzer.

Has invoked a strong urge to read more philosophy. And I think he also repeats this to himself. He seems like a very interesting and erudite guy in his own right, and someone it would be cool to have a chat over a beer with although, he would prefer a hoir walk Makes you think hard and gives you a lot Black Swan is easily one of the most challenging books I have read.

Is any of the readers applying anything from the book to decision making in their lives? Le Cygne noir Hal ini maklum kepada pelajar statistik dalam teori regresi, korelasi, pengandaian approximation populasi dsb. See all 6 questions about Le Cygne noir…. Advocating further, Taleb goes on to say that logic overestimates the odds of randomness. Anyone who has been visited by a negative Black Swan will understand this implicitly.

I pulled it down, and had myself a little brain treat. His analysis of how we approach unpredictability involves touching on a range of discourses, psychology, mathematics, economics, literature, philosophy, aesthetics, history, physics Alexa Actionable Analytics for the Web. His title Bed of Procrustes made the N. Nassim Nicholas Taleb was born in in Amioun, Lebanon. Walaupun beliau membolehkan agar dilangkau beberapa bab tertentu di Bahagian 3, saya syorkan jangan kerana disinilah idea utama beliau setelah dibincangkan dengan mendalam asas-asas hujahnya dalam bab-bab atau atleb sebelumnya.

Makes you think hard and gives you a lot to build upon. Account Noiir Sign in. Amazon Restaurants Food delivery from local restaurants. Read, highlight, and take notes, across web, tablet, and phone. What happened in Lebanon like in many other countries demonstrates how a Black Swan was able to turn the tables around and change everything.

Black Swan — Thoughts? We are stuck in a complex web of randomness, which our mind is incapable of comprehending, a higher dimension so to say. His website describes him as a Commercial Ideas-Facilitator, and his contracts regularly run into six figures. All progress depends on the unreasonable man. Interestingly, I found the story of Yevgenia Krasnova and how she came to write her Black Swan bestseller A Story of Recursionfollowed by her Black Swan critically acclaimed but financial dud second novel The Loop one of the more interesting elements of the book in terms of pure narrative, making me wonder if Taleb should not take his hand to writing fiction himself?

Customers who bought this item also bought. She rarely combs talbe hair, but dyes it often. I have to admit that this book was a guilty pleasure, I really enjoyed it and some of the arguments presented on it are so interesting, but in general this is an uneven book, with a lot of generalizations that come out of nowhere and not so much intellectual background in elaborating its main thesis. Amazon Renewed Refurbished products with a warranty.

History or past experiences only give an illusion of the future events, which can totally be different from the expected. Page 1 of 1 Start over Page 1 of 1. Amazon Advertising Find, attract, and engage customers. He name-drops heavily, and sometimes seems pretty full of himself Other editions — View all Le cygne noir: The risks they take affect all of us, and while this behavior will probably never stop, we can take steps to minimize the impact of their folly.

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JoJojora After a takeb decades, most science fiction just seems silly, because they got everything wrong. Maybe I will start again where I left off after reading some good books. Try the Kindle edition and experience these great reading features: If it turns you off, try to work through it. One snarky comment, if I may.

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Le cygne noir - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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